The presented study focuses its epistemological focus on determining the correlational and causal relationships between exogenous shocks of an ecopolitical nature, which have intensified since the beginning of 2019, and the prospects for sustainable development of the national economic paradigm of the Russian Federation. Within the framework of the methodological framework of this research, a multivariate analysis of the transformational trends of key macroeconomic indicators representing the systemic dynamics of the economic complex of the Russian Federation is carried out. The subsequent research phase involves verifying the hypothesis of the nonlinear impact of the COVID-19 pandemic crisis and externalized sanctions regimes initiated by geopolitical opponents on the stochastic volatility of stock indices, profit margins of corporations that are systemically important agents, as well as on exchange rate imbalances in the context of a multipolar monetary system. The final segment of the study includes predictive modeling of the trajectory of economic development based on factor analysis of the exogenous-endogenous continuum, with an emphasis on identifying the dominant determinants of structural shifts.
Stefanova et al. (Thu,) studied this question.