Long-Term Asymptomatic Carriage of Plasmodium falciparum Protects from Malaria Attacks: a Prospective Study among Senegalese Children

BACKGROUND: In areas of seasonal malaria transmission, long-term asymptomatic carriage of Plasmodium falciparum throughout the dry season has been primarily studied in terms of the parasites, and the clinical consequences of persistent parasite carriage are unknown. METHODS: A prospective study was conducted in Senegal, from 2001 through 2003 among 1356 children living in areas where malaria is endemic, with seasonal transmission occurring from August through December. Cross-sectional parasitological measurements and detection of active malaria attacks were performed. A malaria attack was defined as an axillary temperature > or =37.5 degrees C, associated with a parasite density >2500 trophozoites/microL. Children harboring P. falciparum in June who did not have clinical signs were defined as asymptomatic carriers. The association of asymptomatic carriage with parasite densities and with the occurrence of malaria attacks during the rainy season were analyzed separately for the years 2002 and 2003, taking into account potential confounding covariates and use of antimalarial drugs. RESULTS: The prevalence of asymptomatic carriage was 32% (332 of 1025 persons) in June 2002 and 23% (208 of 912 persons) in June 2003. Asymptomatic P. falciparum carriers had a significantly higher mean parasite density and a significantly lower probability of developing a malaria attack during the subsequent rainy season than did noncarriers (adjusted odds ratio in 2002, 0.56; P = .01; adjusted odds ratio in 2003, 0.50; P = .01). CONCLUSIONS: These results suggest that in areas of seasonal transmission, asymptomatic carriage of P. falciparum may protect against clinical malaria. Further studies are needed to understand the immune effectors and host susceptibility that could be involved in this phenomenon.