Soil temperature, nitrogen mineralization, and carbon source–sink relationships in boreal forests

Boreal forests contain large quantities of soil carbon, prompting concern that climatic warming may stimulate decomposition and accentuate increasing atmospheric CO 2 concentrations. While soil warming increases decomposition rates, the accompanying increase in nutrient mineralization may promote tree growth in these nutrient-poor soils and thereby compensate for the increased carbon loss during decomposition. We used a model of production and decomposition to test this hypothesis. In black spruce (Piceamariana (Mill.) B.S.P.), white spruce (Piceaglauca (Moench) Voss), and paper birch (Betulapapyrifera Marsh.) forests, decomposition increased with the soil warming caused by a 5 °C increase in air temperature. However, increased nitrogen mineralization promoted tree growth, offsetting the increased carbon loss during decomposition. In the black spruce forest, increased tree production was maintained for the 25 years of simulation. Whether this can be maintained indefinitely is unknown. In the birch forest, tree production decreased to prewarming levels after about 10 years. Our analyses examined only the consequences of belowground feedbacks that affect ecosystem carbon uptake with climatic warming. These analyses highlight the importance of interactions among net primary production, decomposition, and nitrogen mineralization in determining the response of forest ecosystems to climatic change.