Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

Recent papers from Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco

1. Carbon Pricing and Inflation ExpectationsEconometrics Journal · 2026
2. The (Re)Anchoring of US Firms' Inflation ExpectationsEconomic Commentary (Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland) · 2026
3. The Winners and Losers of Climate Policies: A Sufficient Statistics ApproachThe Economic Journal · 2026
4. A Macro Study of the Unequal Effects of Climate ChangeThe Economic Journal · 2026
5. Bank Risk-Taking, Credit Allocation, and Monetary Policy Transmission: Evidence from ChinaAmerican Economic Journal Macroeconomics · 2025
6. Policy Evaluation with Sufficient Macro Statistics — A Primer —Econometrics Journal · 2025
7. Markups, Production Relocation, and the Gains from TradeJournal of the European Economic Association · 2025
8. A Roadmap for the Federal Reserve's 2025 Review of Its Monetary Policy FrameworkFEDS Notes · 2025
9. A Local Projections Approach to Difference‐in‐DifferencesJournal of Applied Econometrics · 2025
10. How local is local development? Evidence from casinosRegional Science and Urban Economics · 2025
11. Evaluating Macroeconomic Outcomes Under Asymmetries: Expectations MatterThe Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Research Working Papers · 2025
12. Demographics and real interest rates across countries and over timeJournal of International Economics · 2025
13. Reprint of: Demographics and real interest rates across countries and over timeJournal of International Economics · 2025
14. Impacts of climate change on global agriculture accounting for adaptationNature · 2025
15. Regional Dissent: Do Local Economic Conditions Influence FOMC Votes?American Economic Review Insights · 2025
16. Using Macro Counterfactuals to Assess Plausibility: An Illustration using the 2001 Rebate MPCsThe Economic Journal · 2025
17. What and how the public knows about the FedThe Journal of Economic Education · 2025
18. Do Inflation Expectations Become More Anchored during a Disinflation Episode? Evidence for Euro Area FirmsENLIGHTEN (Jurnal Bimbingan dan Konseling Islam) · 2025
19. Reshoring, automation, and labor markets under trade uncertaintyJournal of International Economics · 2025
20. Lost in translation: using global fact-checks to measure multilingual misinformation prevalence, spread, and evolutionEPJ Data Science · 2025