NOAA National Centers for Environmental Prediction

Recent papers from NOAA National Centers for Environmental Prediction

1. Ocean Heat Content Estimates from Ocean Reanalyses since 19932026
2. Building NOAA’s Seasonal Forecasting System (SFS): Process-Based AdvancesMonthly Weather Review · 2026
3. Dependence of Hurricane Track Forecasts on the Spectral Representation of Cumulus ConvectionMeteorology · 2026
4. Climate Services for Heat-Risk Management at the Dakar 2026 Youth Olympic Games: A Competition-Zone Assessment Using WBGT and UTCIClimate · 2026
5. Implementation of predicted rime mass in the bin microphysics scheme DESCAM 3D: evaluation for an idealized squall line system and a heavy snowfall event during ICE-POP 2018Geoscientific model development · 2026
6. Multisource Observation-Constrained Tuning for Air Quality Forecasting in a Machine Learning-Enhanced NOAA Unified Forecast SystemEnvironmental Science & Technology · 2026
7. Progressive Enhancement in the Prediction of Subseasonal Tropical Convection in NOAA Dynamical Forecast SystemsGeophysical Research Letters · 2026
8. Implementation of the Deep Blue Aerosol Algorithm on Geostationary Satellite DataEarth and Space Science · 2026
9. The coupled reanalysis global meridional overturning circulation imprinted by historic volcanic eruptionsNature Communications · 2026
10. A Revisit of the Relative Niño3.4 IndexInternational Journal of Climatology · 2026
11. Composite Extreme Wind‐Wave Event: Asymmetric Forcing From Typhoon and Cold Air in a Temperate Semienclosed SeaJournal of Geophysical Research Oceans · 2026
12. Sensitivity of Tropical Cyclone Forecasts to the Loss of Low Earth Orbit Satellite ObservationsJournal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · 2026
13. Application and Evaluation of a NOAA GFS‐Driven Air Quality Model Using CMAQv5.4 and High‐Resolution Emissions: FIREX‐AQ 2019Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · 2026
14. Attributing Upper‐Tropospheric Warm Biases in CMIP6 Models to Ice Cloud‐Radiation Interaction Deficiencies Over Tropical OceansGeophysical Research Letters · 2026
15. Optimization of parameters in the surface-layer scheme of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model for near-surface wind and temperatureAtmospheric Research · 2026
16. Regional drying over the Western U.S. driven by enhanced atmospheric subsidence amid global moistening from 1980 to 2020Nature Communications · 2026
17. A Model Intercomparison Study to Investigate Mixing Characteristics in Non‐Precipitating Stratocumulus CloudsJournal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems · 2026
18. Direct and Indirect Effects of Aerosols During the 2023 Canadian WildfiresAtmosphere · 2026
19. How Well Is Surface Diurnal Temperature Range Represented by Observations at 2‐m LevelInternational Journal of Climatology · 2026
20. Using Novel Observations to Evaluate Background Ensemble Forecasts at the Air‐Sea Interface from a Self‐Cycled HAFS Data Assimilation System for Hurricane Fiona (2022)Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · 2026