Study on the Risk of Reservoir Wellbore Collapse Throughout the Full Life Cycle of the Qianmiqiao Bridge Carbonate Rock Gas Storage Reservoir

Underground gas storage (UGS) in heterogeneous carbonate reservoirs is crucial for energy security but frequently faces wellbore instability challenges, which traditional static methods struggle to address due to dynamic full life cycle changes. This study systematically analyzes the dynamic evolution of wellbore stress in the Bs8 well (Qianmiqiao carbonate UGS) during drilling, acidizing, and injection-production operations, establishing a quantitative risk assessment model based on the Mohr–Coulomb criterion. Results indicate a significantly higher wellbore instability risk during drilling and initial gas injection stages, primarily manifested as shear failure, with greater severity observed in deeper well sections (e.g., 4277 m) due to higher in situ stresses. During acidizing, while the wellbore acid column pressure can reduce principal stress differences, the process also significantly weakens rock strength (e.g., by approximately 30%), inherently increasing the risk of wellbore instability, though the primary collapse mode remains shallow shear breakout. In the injection-production phase, increasing formation pressure is identified as the dominant factor, shifting the collapse mode from initial shallow shear failure to predominant wide shear collapse, notably at 90°/270° from the maximum horizontal stress direction, thereby significantly expanding the unstable zone. This dynamic assessment method provides crucial theoretical support for full life cycle integrity management and optimizing safe operation strategies for carbonate gas storage wells.