Probabilistic analysis estimates direct air capture could reach megaton-scale, suggesting policy support is vital for achieving gigaton-scale capacity.
Abstract Direct Air Capture (DAC) could play a key role in achieving net-zero emissions. Here, we use a probabilistic approach to explore its growth and therefore its contribution to climate change mitigation by 2050. We find that, based on its characteristics alone, DAC may only reach the megaton-scale by mid-century. However, with targeted policy support - especially to increase near-term capacity – a climate-relevant gigaton-scale could still be reached.
No takes yet. Share an insight, caveat, or question.
Brazzola et al. (2025) studied this question.
Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context: