Analysis of copula-based Markov chains reveals differences in discrete and continuous distributions, highlighting challenges in parameter estimation.
This article investigates the effects of discrete marginal distributions on copula-based Markov chains. We establish results on mixing properties and parameter estimation for a copula-based Markov chain model with Bernoulli( <m:math xmlns:m="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"> <m:mi>p</m:mi> </m:math> p ) marginal distributions, emphasizing some distinctions between continuous and discrete state-space Markov chains. We derive parameter estimators using the maximum-likelihood estimation (MLE) method and explore alternative estimators of <m:math xmlns:m="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"> <m:mi>p</m:mi> </m:math> p that are asymptotically equivalent to the MLE. Furthermore, we provide the asymptotic distributions of these parameter estimators. A simulation study is conducted to evaluate the performance of the various estimators for <m:math xmlns:m="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML"> <m:mi>p</m:mi> </m:math> p . Additionally, we employ the likelihood ratio test to assess independence within the sequence.
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Nthiani et al. (2025) studied this question.
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