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August 16, 2025Uluslararası Anadolu Sosyal Bilimler DergisiOpen Access

The Relationship Between the Financial Services Confidence Index, Credit Default Swap and the Bist Services Index: An Empirical Analysis

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Authors

EKEmine KARAÇAYIR

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Overview

Empirical analysis demonstrates indirect effects of financial services confidence and credit risk on Türkiye's services sector index.

Key Points

  • No direct causality was observed between the financial services confidence index and the BIST Services Index, highlighting complex market dynamics.
  • The asymmetric causality test revealed differing effects of the financial services confidence index and credit default swaps on the BIST Services Index components.
  • Utilizing monthly data from August 2012 to February 2025, the research incorporates comprehensive stationarity tests and optimal lag selection before analysis.
  • Findings suggest that specific shocks can indirectly influence the relationship between investor expectations and services sector performance.

Cite This Study

Emine KARAÇAYIR (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68af4546ad7bf08b1ead2f2bhttps://doi.org/10.47525/ulasbid.1731831
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