Diagnosing Tibetan Plateau Summer Monsoon Variability Through Temperature Advection

It has always been a research topic for some meteorologists to design a new and reasonable calculation scheme of the intensity of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) summer monsoon (TPSM). Existing indices are defined based on dynamic factors. However, the intensity of the TPSM can also be influenced by thermal factors. We therefore propose defining a TPMI in terms of horizontal temperature advection within the main body of the TP. This provides a new index that directly quantifies the extent to which the thermal forcing in the TP region regulates the monsoon system. The new index emphasizes the importance of the atmospheric asymmetry structure in measuring TPSM strength, represents the variability of the TPSM circulation system, effectively reflects the meteorological elements, and accurately represents the climate variation. Tropospheric temperature (TT) and TPSM are linked by the new index. These significant centers of correlation are characterized by alternating positive and negative phases along the Eastern European Plain, across the Turan Plain, and into southwestern and northeastern China. The correlation coefficients are found to be significantly out of phase between high and low altitudes in the vertical direction. This research broadens our minds and helps us to develop a new approach to measuring TPSM strength. It can also predict extreme weather events in advance based on TPMI changes, providing a scientific basis for disaster warnings and the management of agriculture and water resources.