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This study reveals interdecadal variability shifts in East Asian winter temperature, indicating climate pattern influences.
This study investigates the characteristics and underlying mechanisms of the interannual variability changes in the winter East Asian averaged surface air temperature (EASAT) since 1880. The results reveal that the EASAT interannual variability experiences interdecadal enhancement during 1934–1963 (P2) but suppression during 1890−1933 (P1) and 1964–2001 (P3). This fluctuation is driven by the interannual variability changes in the western part of the East Asian trough (WEAT), primarily through modulating downward surface shortwave radiation of clouds. The WEAT variability changes are closely related to the variations of the background zonal wind and meridional temperature gradient around mid-latitude East Asia, which are stronger during P2 but weaker during P1 and P3. As a result, the amplified transient eddy feedback forcing and the enhanced available potential energy extraction cause stronger variability in the WEAT and the EASAT during P2 compared to P1 and P3. Moreover, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) phase shifts excite a zonal Rossby wave train across the Eurasian continent, inducing the anomalous meridional dipole circulations over East Asia and explaining the interdecadal variations of the background zonal wind and meridional temperature gradient. The positive AMO phases amplify the EASAT variability and vice versa.
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Ge et al. (2025) studied this question.
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