Analysis reveals decreasing trends in ice cover duration and onset in the Vistula River, suggesting climate impacts.
The phenomenon of surface freezing in lakes, rivers, and reservoirs, has been an essential part of Poland’s winter landscape for centuries. It plays critical ecological roles, such as regulating heat balance and influencing the state of biocenoses. Due to progressive climate warming, we have observed significant changes in ice cover duration, thickness, and timing in recent decades. Ice phenomena on rivers are temporary. They strongly depend on air temperature, which has recently been increasing worldwide. This paper analyzes the variability of ice phenomena formation in selected river profiles of the central Vistula River catchment, central Poland. The research period covers the years 1968–2016. The data come from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management-State Research Institute (IMGW-PIB). The duration (including the dates of occurrence and disappearance of the phenomenon) and the frequency of occurrence of ice phenomena over the long-term were determined with particular attention to ice cover. The long-term occurrence of ice phenomena shows a decreasing trend (shorter duration, later onset dates) with a simultaneous increase in the average air temperature during the winter half of the hydrological year.
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Hejduk et al. (2025) studied this question.
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