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August 26, 2025Open Access

Does Debt Hamper Economic Growth? A Time Series Analysis for Tanzania (1990 – 2023)

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MBMarc BausFDFulgence Dominic

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Overview

Time series analysis shows that external debt negatively affects GDP in Tanzania, indicating a need for better debt management policies.

Key Points

  • External debt has a statistically significant negative effect on GDP in the long run, highlighting potential growth risks.
  • Empirical results indicate a long-run equilibrium among variables, with external debt, FDI, and institutional quality impacting growth.
  • Analysis using Johansen cointegration and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) provides insights into dynamics between debt and economic indicators.
  • Finding calls for improved debt management and public investment strategies to foster sustainable economic growth in Tanzania.

Cite This Study

Baus et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68af63e3ad7bf08b1eae4516https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-7407038/v1
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