The Interaction Between Vegetation Change and Land–Atmosphere Heat Exchange on the Tibetan Plateau

Vegetation–heat flux feedbacks have a great influence on ecosystems, but the interaction between them is still unclear. This is particularly critical in ecologically fragile areas, where plant growth is especially sensitive to land–atmosphere interactions that help plants withstand environmental pressures. To the causal relationship between vegetation and heat flux under different topographies on the Tibetan Plateau, we improved the Granger causality model to handle nonstationary scenarios, enabling us to uncover previously unknown interaction patterns between unstable vegetation change and heat fluxes. Further sensitivity analysis was performed to assess the strength of causal influences. The results showed that the sensible heat (SH) and latent heat (LH) fluxes were increasing at rates of 0.28 W·m−2·decade−1 and 0.105 W·m−2·decade−1, respectively. The interaction between them on vegetation change depends on terrains, at low elevations below 3000 m and high elevations of 5000–6000 m, SH and LH jointly regulate vegetation growth of shady and gentle to moderate slopes, predominantly involving dense grasslands, but the influence of SH is stronger. While at middle elevations of 3000–5000 m and on steep slopes, LH and vegetation of all types interact to form an intensive local energy cycle. Conversely, vegetation change also influences heat flux. Below 6000 m (excluding the 2000–3000 m), vegetation only regulates LH, and this influence appears largely independent of terrain, contributing to energy redistribution and water cycle maintenance in these regions. These interactions suggest that vegetation plays a central role in shaping energy distribution on the plateau, maintaining the water cycle, and regulating climate in alpine regions by regulating heat flux.