The Correlation of Microscopic Particle Components and Prediction of the Compressive Strength of Fly-Ash-Based Bubble Lightweight Soil

Fly-ash-based bubble lightweight soil is widely used due to its environmental friendliness, load reduction, ease of construction, and low costs. In this study, 41 sets of 28 d compressive strength data on lightweight soils with different water–cement ratios, blowing agent dosages, and fly ash dosages were collected through a literature search and indoor tests. Using the compressive strength index and SEM tests, the correlation between the mix ratio design and the microscopic particle components was investigated. The findings were as follows: carbonation reactions occurred in lightweight soil during the maintenance process, and the particles were spherical; increasing the dosage of blowing agent increased the soil’s porosity and pore diameter, leading to the formation of through-holes and reducing the compressive strength and mobility; increasing the fly ash dosage and water–cement ratio increased the soil’s mobility but reduced its compressive strength; and the strength decreased significantly when the fly ash dosage was more than 16% (e.g., the strength at a 20% dosage was 17.8% lower than that at a 15% dosage). Feature importance analysis showed that the water–cement ratio (57.7%), fly ash dosage (30.9%), and blowing agent dosage (11.1%) had a significant effect on strength. ExtraTrees, LightGBM, and Bayesian-optimized Random Forest models were used for 28d strength prediction with coefficients of determination (R2) of 0.695, 0.731, and 0.794, respectively. The Bayesian-optimized Random Forest model performed optimally in terms of the mean square error (MSE), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE), and the prediction performance was best. The accuracy of the model is expected to be further improved with expansions in the database. A 28 d compressive strength prediction platform for fly-ash-based bubble lightweight soil was ultimately developed, providing a convenient tool for researchers and engineers to predict material properties and mix ratios.