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This is a ARDL study (also classified as: Granger causality, Error Correction Mechanism, Augmented Dickey-Fuller test).

September 10, 2025

The Nexus of Agricultural Output and Economic Growthin Nigeria, an Ardl Approach

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A 1% increase in real GDP leads to a 24.83% increase in agricultural output, highlighting economic growth's influence.
The exchange rate negatively affects agricultural output, with a 1% increase in exchange rate and trade resulting in decreases of 10.68% and 1.67%, respectively.
Granger causality tests reveal a unidirectional causality from agricultural output to economic growth, emphasizing agriculture's role.
The study suggests effective policies, including managed exchange rates and increased budget allocation to agriculture, for sustainable development.

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Analysis shows a significant relationship between agricultural output and economic growth in Nigeria, indicating policy implications for stability.

Taru et al. (2025) studied this question.

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Analysis shows a significant relationship between agricultural output and economic growth in Nigeria, indicating policy implications for stability.