Discussion reveals the impact of passion, chance, and rationality on the Ukraine conflict, suggesting complex dynamics.
I’ve largely avoided writing directly about the war in the Ukraine. My note from the start of March still conveys much of my thinking on it, with the relevance of the Clausewitzian Trinity only becoming more pronounced. The interplay of these three factors - (1) passion and violence, (2) chance and probability, (3) rationality and policy - continue to shape the conflict in powerful and unexpected ways.
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Christopher Hobson (2022) studied this question.
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