Surrogate model improves predictive accuracy for ship dynamic stability in comparison to hydrodynamics, suggesting efficiency gains.
The assessment of ship dynamic stability in waves is crucial for navigation safety. To mitigate accidents, the International Maritime Organization (IMO) has formulated corresponding technical standards. However, evaluating the dynamic stability performance of ships involves complex numerical simulation or model experiments based on hydrodynamic methods, which demands professionalism, substantial time, and significant financial cost. This paper analyzes the feasibility of using the Generalized Regression Neural Network (GRNN) method to build a surrogate model for ship dynamic stability performance calculation. Comparisons with hydrodynamics-based simulations reveal that the surrogate model matches the trends well, yet the root-mean-square error (RMSE) remains non-negligible. Therefore, an improved GRNN surrogate model is proposed to solve this problem. By incorporating enhanced feature preprocessing and clustering techniques, the improved model not only increases predictive accuracy but also achieves significant efficiency gains, reducing the computational time from days or weeks for numerical simulations to seconds or minutes. Experimental results show that the improved surrogate model outperforms the baseline GRNN model, and this framework can serve as a practical surrogate for hydrodynamics-based numerical models to rapidly assess pre-voyage dynamic stability.
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Sun et al. (2025) studied this question.
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