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September 16, 2025Annals of Internal Medicine8 citations

The Cost-Effectiveness of Semaglutide and Tirzepatide for Patients With Knee Osteoarthritis and Obesity

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DBDaniel J. BetenskyKSKaren C. SmithJKJeffrey N. Katz

Key Points

  • Tirzepatide resulted in a $57,400 per QALY ICER, providing greater health benefits than semaglutide.
  • The base-case cohort had a mean BMI of 40 kg/m² and a pain score of 71, highlighting severe osteoarthritis complications.
  • The cost-effectiveness analysis utilized the Osteoarthritis Policy Model to evaluate treatment trends and outcomes.
  • Tirzepatide shows a 64% probability of being cost-effective at a $100,000 per QALY threshold, outpacing semaglutide's 34% probability.

Abstract

Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP1RAs) lead to substantial weight loss and pain reduction in persons with knee osteoarthritis and obesity. To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of 2 GLP1RAs, semaglutide and tirzepatide, for patients with osteoarthritis and obesity. Osteoarthritis Policy Model, a validated microsimulation model of knee osteoarthritis, to estimate lifetime benefits and costs of weight loss strategies. Published data to derive treatment-related weight loss, pain reduction, and costs of GLP1RAs from the U. S. Office of Health Policy. Persons with knee osteoarthritis and obesity in the United States. The base-case cohort had a Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index pain score of 71 (0 to 100, 100 worst) and a mean body mass index (BMI) of 40 kg/m2. Lifetime. Health care, societal. Semaglutide, tirzepatide, laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy (LSG), Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB), and diet and exercise. Quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), cost, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). Tirzepatide provided greater health benefits at lower costs than semaglutide and yielded a 57 400 per QALY ICER versus diet and exercise. For those eligible, RYGB provided greater health benefits at lower costs than the 2 GLP1RAs and had a 30 700 per QALY ICER versus LSG. Tirzepatide's ICER was most sensitive to changes in medication costs, treatment efficacy, and cohort baseline BMI. Tirzepatide had a 64% and semaglutide had a 34% probability of being cost-effective at a 100 000 per QALY threshold. Data from multiple sources. Both tirzepatide and semaglutide would be widely considered cost-effective when compared directly with usual care. Tirzepatide would offer the most favorable return on investment to decision makers whose cost-effectiveness thresholds exceed 57 400 per QALY. The Arthritis Foundation and National Institute of Arthritis and Musculoskeletal and Skin Diseases.

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Cite This Study

Betensky et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68d4539c31b076d99fa593edhttps://doi.org/10.7326/annals-24-03609
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Also Consider

Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context:

  1. 1A Short-Term Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Tirzepatide Versus Semaglutide for the Treatment of Obesity in Greece2025
  2. 2Cost-Effectiveness of Tirzepatide Versus Liraglutide, Both Adjunct to Diet and Exercise, for Patients with Obesity or Overweight: A UK Perspective2025
  3. 3Who Wins the Battle Against Obesity? A Network Meta‐Analysis Comparing Tirzepatide and Semaglutide2026 · 5 citations
  4. 4Cost-effectiveness of tirzepatide versus semaglutide for patients with obesity or overweight in the US: evidence from the SURMOUNT-5 head-to-head phase-3 trial2026
  5. 5Comparison of Clinical Efficacy and Safety of Tirzepatide, Liraglutide and Semaglutide in Patients with Obesity and Without T2D: A Bayesian Network Meta-Analysis of Randomised Controlled Trials2026 · 2 citations