Comparative assessment shows higher flood exposure in deprived urban areas, highlighting citizen science's role in urban resilience.
Abstract Rapid urbanization in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) has intensified flood risks, disproportionately affecting deprived urban areas (DUAs). Yet, these areas remain systematically unmapped in existing assessments, particularly in data-scarce environments. This study offers, for the first time, a comparative assessment of flood exposure across six SSA cities, integrating a lightweight low-cost flood model, global remote sensing datasets and citizen science methods. We find that DUAs are up to 200% more exposed to flooding, with frequent shallow floods (up to 10cm) causing significant, yet often overlooked, impacts. Of these, over 50% concern property damage, disease outbreaks and infrastructure failures. Surprisingly, secondary cities sometimes surpass primaries in absolute exposure. We also highlight the spatial biases from built-up surface datasets, in turn overestimating exposure in peri-urban areas and omitting in dense DUAs. Our findings challenge conventional ways of assessing flood risk and emphasize that local knowledge is indispensable in fostering urban resilience.
No takes yet. Share an insight, caveat, or question.
Oliveira et al. (2025) studied this question.
Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context: