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October 2, 2025Sustainability0 citationsOpen Access

Nationwide Decline of Wet Sulfur Deposition in China from 2013 to 2023

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YXYue XiQWQiufeng WangJZJianxing Zhu

Key Points

  • Nationwide wet sulfur deposition declined by more than 50% from 2013 to 2023, highlighting policy effectiveness.
  • Most sites observed significant decreases, with 95% of grids reporting reductions in sulfur levels.
  • A random forest model was implemented, achieving R2 = 0.52, confirming emission reductions drove the observed improvements.
  • Findings support sustainable governance in balancing economic growth and ecological protection for developing regions.

Abstract

Atmospheric sulfur (S) deposition, a key component of acid deposition, poses risks to ecosystems, human health, and sustainable development. In China, decades of coal-dominated energy use caused severe S pollution, but recent emission-control policies and energy restructuring have sought to reverse this trend. However, the effectiveness and regional differences in these measures remain insufficiently quantified. Here, we combined continuous observations from 43 monitoring sites (2013–2023), satellite-derived SO2 vertical column density, and multi-source environmental datasets to construct a high-resolution record of wet S deposition. A random forest model, validated with R2 = 0.52 and RMSE = 1.2 kg ha−1 yr−1, was used to estimate fluxes and spatial patterns, while ridge regression and SHAP analysis quantified the relative contributions of emissions, precipitation, and socioeconomic factors. This framework allows us to assess both the environmental and health-related sustainability implications of sulfur deposition. Results show a nationwide decline of more than 50% in wet S deposition during 2013–2023, with two-thirds of sites and 95% of grids showing significant decreases. Historical hotspots such as the North China Plain and Sichuan Basin improved markedly, while some southern provinces (e.g., Guizhou, Hunan, Jiangxi) still exhibited high deposition (>20 kg ha−1 yr−1). Over 90% of the reduction was attributable to emission declines, confirming the dominant effect of sustained policy-driven measures. This study extends sulfur deposition records to 2023, demonstrates the value of integrating ground monitoring with remote sensing and machine learning, and provides robust evidence that China’s emission reduction policies have delivered significant environmental and sustainability benefits. The findings offer insights for region-specific governance and for developing countries balancing economic growth with ecological protection.

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Cite This Study

Xi et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68de5d9c83cbc991d0a203c8https://doi.org/10.3390/su17198815
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