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October 2, 2025Land2 citationsOpen Access

Evaluating Urban Economic Resilience in the Face of Major Public Health Emergencies: A Spatiotemporal Analysis

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ZLZeyu LinSLShanlang LinCJChen Jianxing

Key Points

  • Economic resilience declined during the peak of COVID-19, but began recovering in 2021 amidst varying regional impacts.
  • The study analyzed 2843 counties, revealing eastern coastal regions exhibited stronger economic resilience with a comprehensive index system.
  • Using the Projection Pursuit Model, resilience was evaluated across resistance, stress, recovery, and innovation metrics.
  • Targeted strategies for policymakers aim to enhance urban economic resilience in the face of future public health emergencies.

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic severely impacted China’s economic stability. This study assesses the economic resilience of 2843 Chinese counties from 2019 to 2021 by constructing a comprehensive evaluation index system. Using the Projection Pursuit Model to generate index weights, we analyze resilience across four key dimensions: resistance, stress, recovery, and innovation. Our analysis reveals that urban economic resilience first declined during the pandemic’s peak before recovering in 2021. Spatially, eastern coastal regions demonstrated stronger resilience, supported by robust infrastructure, advanced industries, and flexible markets. In contrast, central and western regions were less resilient due to their reliance on traditional industries. A deeper sub-dimensional analysis showed that eastern regions consistently outperformed the west across all four metrics. This research establishes a rigorous framework for evaluating urban economic resilience and offers targeted strategies for policymakers to build more resilient cities in the face of future public health emergencies.

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Cite This Study

Lin et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68de68f183cbc991d0a21740https://doi.org/10.3390/land14101977
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