This analysis shows that binary branching brownian motion reaches a deterministic shape over time, suggesting insights into spatial heterogeneity effects.
We consider the long-time behaviour of binary branching Brownian motion (BBM) where the branching rate depends on a periodic spatial heterogeneity. We prove that almost surely as t→∞, the heterogeneous BBM at time t, normalized by t, approaches a deterministic convex shape with respect to Hausdorff distance. Our approach relies on establishing tail bounds on the probability of existence of BBM particles lying in half-spaces, which in particular yields the asymptotic speed of propagation of projections of the BBM in every direction. Our arguments are primarily probabilistic in nature, but additionally exploit the existence of a "front speed" (or minimal speed of a pulsating traveling front solution) for the Fisher-KPP reaction-diffusion equation naturally associated to the BBM.
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Addario-Berry et al. (2025) studied this question.
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