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Analysis identifies sociodemographic and health factors impacting sleep duration trajectories from childhood, suggesting early interventions may be critical.
Background Suboptimal sleep is prevalent in both children and adults and is linked to adverse health outcomes. Understanding life course sleep duration trajectories is important for identifying at-risk individuals and informing intervention strategies. This study aimed to describe sleep duration trajectories from childhood to mid-adulthood and to identify childhood predictors. Method Data were from a national cohort of children (n = 759, mean baseline age 12.0 [2.0] years, 38.6% male). Sleep duration in childhood was calculated from self-reported bedtime and wake-up time and reassessed approximately 25 and 30 years later using validated questionnaires. Suboptimal sleep (yes/no) was defined using age-specific recommendations. Trajectories were constructed based on changes in suboptimal sleep over time. Log-multinomial regression models identified childhood sociodemographic, school-related, and health predictors. Results Five sleep duration trajectories were identified: persistently optimal (46.1%), improving (15.4%), inconsistent (10.4%), worsening (23.5%), and persistently suboptimal (4.6%). Relative to the persistently optimal trajectory, female sex predicted the improving trajectory. Speaking a language other than English at home and being overweight/obese predicted the inconsistent trajectory. Male sex, lower parental occupation, more siblings, skipping breakfast, and poorer self-rated health predicted the worsening trajectory. Speaking a language other than English at home, lower school engagement, worse learner self-concept, and smoking predicted the persistently suboptimal trajectory. Discussion Nearly half of participants maintained optimal sleep from childhood to mid-adulthood, while 40% followed unfavourable trajectories and only 15% improved. Early-life sociodemographic, school-related, and health factors may shape long-term sleep duration trajectories and should inform strategies to support healthy sleep across the life course.
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Fatima et al. (2025) studied this question.
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