Application of Generative AI in Financial Risk Prediction: Enhancing Model Accuracy and Interpretability

This study explores the application of generative artificial intelligence (AI) in financial risk forecasting, aiming to assess its potential in enhancing both the accuracy and interpretability of predictive models. Traditional methods often struggle with the complexity and nonlinearity of financial data, whereas generative AI—such as large language models and generative adversarial networks (GANs)—offers novel solutions to these challenges. The study begins with a comprehensive review of current research on generative AI in financial risk prediction, with a focus on its roles in data augmentation and feature extraction. It then investigates techniques such as Generative Adversarial Explanation (GAX) to evaluate their effectiveness in improving model interpretability. Case studies demonstrate the practical value of generative AI in real-world financial forecasting and quantify its contribution to predictive accuracy. Furthermore, the study identifies key challenges—including data quality, model training costs, and regulatory compliance—and proposes corresponding mitigation strategies. The findings suggest that generative AI can significantly improve the accuracy and interpretability of financial risk models, though its adoption must be carefully managed to address associated risks. This study offers insights and guidance for future research in applying generative AI to financial risk forecasting.