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Recently, the digital transition has been highlighted as a strategy fostering economic competitiveness. How the advantages from the digital transition will distribute over time and space is still unclear. This paper builds scenarios comparing the effects of a digital transition. Technological assumptions are consistently related to the assumptions on other structural changes. The internal coherence among assumptions is guaranteed by a larger overarching framework based on how the geopolitical context will evolve. A deeper within-EU integration and global cooperation, or a fragmented Europe torn in a world polarized in two blocs, enhance the digital transition and the main structural changes in different ways.
Capello et al. (2024) studied this question.