Pediatric Electrocardiogram-Based Deep Learning to Predict Secundum Atrial Septal Defects

Abstract Secundum atrial septal defect (ASD2) detection is often delayed, with the potential for late diagnosis complications. Recent work demonstrated artificial intelligence-enhanced ECG analysis shows promise to detect ASD2 in adults. However, its application to pediatric populations remains underexplored. In this study, we trained a convolutional neural network (AI-pECG) on paired ECG–echocardiograms (≤ 2 days apart) to detect ASD2 from patients ≤ 18 years old without major congenital heart disease. Model performance was evaluated on the first ECG–echocardiogram pair per patient for Boston Children’s Hospital internal testing and emergency department cohorts using area under the receiver operating (AUROC) and precision-recall (AUPRC) curves. The training cohort comprised of 92,377 ECG–echocardiogram pairs (46,261 patients; median age 8.2 years) with an ASD2 prevalence of 6.7%. Test groups included internal testing (12,631 patients; median age 7.4 years; 6.9% prevalence) and emergency department (2,830 patients; median age 7.5 years; 4.9% prevalence) cohorts. Model performance was higher in the internal test (AUROC 0.84, AUPRC 0.46) cohort than the emergency department cohort (AUROC 0.80, AUPRC 0.30). In both cohorts, AI-pECG outperformed ECG findings of incomplete right bundle branch block. Model explainability analyses suggest high-risk limb lead features include greater amplitude P waves (suggestive of right atrial enlargement) and V1 RSR’ (suggestive of RBBB). Our findings demonstrate the promise of AI-pECG to inexpensively screen and/or detect ASD2 in pediatric patients. Future multicenter validation and prospective trials to inform clinical decision making are warranted.