Monetary Policy, Capital Regulation and Systemic Risk in Commercial Banks: Evidence from in China

This paper examines the impact of monetary policy and capital regulation on commercial banks' systemic risk using a fixed panel model with data from 16 listed commercial banks in China from Q1 2011 to Q4 2019. The results show that both quantity-based monetary policy instruments, represented by currency issuance, and price-based monetary policy instruments, represented by interest rates, affect systemic risk. And they both show that accommodative monetary policies amplify commercial banks systemic risk. Besides, capital regulation has a dampening effect on systemic risk, and the intensity of regulation moves inversely with systemic risk. In addition, there is a synergistic effect between monetary policy and capital regulation. Furthermore, a symbiotic relationship exists between monetary policy and capital regulation. The findings of this study assist nations in managing systemic financial risks through macroeconomic policies.