Statistical methods in assessing the impact of industrial development on the economic security of the region

in the current geopolitical situation, the need to strengthen the national security of the Russian Federation and reduce social tension requires the state to actively search for new opportunities for economic development – a key factor ensuring the well-being of the country's population. Industrial sovereignty in this difficult period for modern Russia is one of the necessary conditions for maintaining economic security and reducing social tension in the state. The presented article describes the characteristics of the industries of the subsidized region and examines their importance for the economic security of the country. Objective: to analyze the state of industries in the subsidized region (manufacturing and agriculture) in the context of import substitution and sanctions pressure. Methods: when writing the work, the method of analyzing normative legal documents, statistical data and scientific literature was used. During the study, the level of development of manufacturing industries in the Tambov region was estimated according to statistical observation; the level of development of agriculture in the Tambov region was estimated according to statistical observation; correlation and regression analysis was carried out and a regression model was built to assess the degree of influence of the level of development of the components of the real sector of the economy on the gross regional product - the main macroeconomic indicator characterizing the production process goods and services in the subject of the Russian Federation. Results: a correlation and regression analysis was carried out and a regression model of the influence of industries on the level of economic development of the subsidized region was constructed. Conclusion: based on the results of the study, possible ways to eliminate the identified problems and strengthen the industrial sovereignty of the state are proposed.