This paper presents a framework with associated concepts to define a method of compliance for the failure rate requirements of the Army Military Airworthiness Certification Criteria (AMACC), Chapter 5, for fleet qualification and first flight. The fleet failure rate requirement is paraphrased as less than one structural failure in 20 million flight hours at 95% confidence and applies specifically to fatigue failure of primary structural elements (PSEs). This method of compliance assumes a reliability model sufficient to support an analytical failure rate that bounds the uncertainty arising from practical constraints of an aircraft qualification program and aims to optimize the competing objectives of safety of flight and operational capability. The requirements as defined verify that the aircraft system will perform as intended for a specified fleet life and flight test program duration and serve as the analytical basis for the assessment of emergent issues identified throughout the product life cycle.
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Stephen Janny (2024) studied this question.
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