Transforming the Discovery of Targeted Protein Degraders: The Translational Power of Predictive PK/PD Modeling

Targeted protein degraders (TPDs), an emerging therapeutic modality, are attracting considerable interest with the promise to address disease-related proteins that are not druggable with conventional small molecule inhibitors. Despite their novel mechanism of action, the PK/PD relationship of degraders is still approached with a mindset deeply rooted in inhibitor drugs. Here, we establish how predictive mechanistic modeling specifically tailored to TPDs can significantly enhance the value of the available information during lead generation and optimization. By integrating the results from in vitro assays with routinely collected PK data, modeling accurately predicts degradation in vivo. These predictions transform the prioritization of compounds for in vivo studies as well as the selection of optimal dose schedules and most informative measurement time points with the least number of animals. Moreover, the comprehensive modeling framework (1) identifies the PK/PD driver of targeted protein degradation and subsequent downstream pharmacodynamic effects, and (2) uncovers the fundamental difference between degrader and inhibitor PK/PD relationships. The practical utility of our predictive modeling is demonstrated with relevant use cases. This framework will allow researchers to transition from current, mostly serendipity-based approaches to more sound model-informed decision making. Going forward, the presented predictive PK/PD modeling framework lays out a rational path to incorporate inter-species differences in the pharmacology and thus promises to help with getting the dose right in clinical trials.