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Correlation analysis reveals improved tracking of seasonal tourist arrivals in the Caribbean, indicating that precipitation and wind outweigh temperature effects in regional climate indices.
This letter questions the supremacy of temperature in the development of tourism climate indices, using the Caribbean as an example. A new methodology is proposed to evaluate a regional climate index based on the seasonal correlation with tourist arrivals and to investigate the weight of the different climate variables that make up the index. Results show that the new climate index fits the seasonal behaviour of tourism demand more accurately by reducing the weight of temperature in the makeup of the index and increasing that of precipitation, wind and cloud cover.
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Cárdenas-Hernández et al. (2024) studied this question.
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