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March 14, 20246 citations

Bankruptcy Prediction Using Machine Learning

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KSKomal SaxenaSTShikhar Tiwar

Key Points

  • Machine learning models identify non-linear patterns in financial data to forecast corporate bankruptcy risk and prevent severe financial losses.
  • Algorithm comparisons incorporate key predictive inputs including financial ratios, industry-specific metrics, and macroeconomic indicators.
  • Model evaluation and interpretability remain essential for stakeholders to validate predictive performance and effectively mitigate systemic risks.

Abstract

Bankruptcy prediction is a critical task for companies, lenders, investors, and regulators. Accurately forecasting the likelihood of a company going bankrupt can help stakeholders make informed decisions, prevent financial losses, and mitigate risks. With its ability to handle vast amounts, machine learning has become a useful technique for bankruptcy prediction, identifying non-linear relationships, and learn from past patterns. In this, we present an bankruptcy prediction model using machine learning. We also focused on the key features used in the model, such as financial ratios, industry-specific metrics, and macroeconomic indicators. We also compared the different machine learning algorithms with better results. Finally, we highlight the importance of model evaluation and interpretability in bankruptcy prediction, and present some of the common metrics used to evaluate the model's performance.

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Cite This Study

Saxena et al. (2024) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68e73ff3b6db6435876b9e5dhttps://doi.org/10.1109/icrito61523.2024.10522290
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