Yukon River discharge  temperature from 2017 – 2020 may be influenced by late summer headwaters flux and water vapor forcing, rather than decadal scale air temperature patterns over this time period

The river mouth of the Yukon is home to subsistence fisheries which will become increasingly subject to changes in temperature and river chemistry.  Predicting these changes will become important to scientists and stakeholders interested in preserving biodiversity[1]. The data in this study include the Group for High Resolution Sea Surface Temperature level-4 gridded 0.09 degree sea surface temperature dataset [2], The Arctic Great Rivers Yukon River volumetric flux dataset [3], the in situ VonFinster headwaters dataset [4], MERRA-2 air temperature [5], MERRA-2 water vapor [6]. A prior study illustrated that SST patterns in the Norton Sound followed decadal scale temperature in August Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) indices from both the University of Washington and University of Tokyo timeseries [7; 8; 9]. This study also suggested that Yukon river SST closely followed air temperature over the river mouth from 2003 – 2020, but that river mouth temperature diverged from air temperature in the years 2017 – 2020.   Yukon headwaters flux increased on or following September 1 in the years 2015 – 2019 during warm-summer PDO indices in the Norton Sound. This suggested an effect not directly related to air temperature over the river mouth. Additionally, three maximum Yukon river discharge years over 2003 – 2020 occurred during the warm-summer PDO  years in  the years 2005, 2016, and 2020. The year 2016, a large sum river discharge year, also had positive water vapor forcing, suggesting that atmospheric effects may be related to extra river discharge during this time frame.   References: [1]Warkentin, L.; Parken, C. K.; Bailey, R.;  Moore, J. W. Low summer river flows associated with low productivity of chinook salmon in a watershed with shifting hydrology. Ecol. Solute. Evid. 2022, 3, e12124 doi: 10.1002/2688-8319.12124. [2] Remote Sensing Systems (REMSS). GHRSST Level 4 MW_IR_OI Global Foundation Sea Surface Temperature analysis version 5.0 from REMSS (GDS versions 1 and 2), [2003-2020, 165° W-180° W, 52° N-70° N]. NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, 2008.{Accessed: September, 2002} [3]Shiklomanov, A.I.; Holmes R.M.; McClelland J.W.; Tank S.E.; Spencer, R.G.M. Arctic Great Rivers Observatory, Discharge Dataset (2021, September 8), 0214. Retrieved from  https://www.arcticrivers.org/data. [4]von Finster, A.;  Folkes, M. Yukon River water temperature data series (2021, March 6), Pacific Salmon Commission. https://www.psc.org  [5]Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) (2015), MERRA-2 surface air temperature, instM_2d_lfo_Nx.200301-20201231: 2d, Monthly mean,Time-Averaged, Single-Level Assimilation, Single-Level Diagnostics V5.12.4, Goddard Earth Sciences Data and Information Services Center (GES DISC), [08/09/2023], doi: 10.5067/AP1B0BA5PD2K. [6]Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) (2015), MERRA-2 water vapor, instM_2d_lfo_Nx.200301-20201231: 2d, Monthly mean,Time-Averaged, Single-Level,Assimilation,Single-Level Diagnostics V5.12.4, Goddard Earth Sciences Data and Information Services Center (GES DISC), [Data 08/09/2023], 10.5067/AP1B0BA5PD2K. [7] Spratt, R., Vazquez, J., Menemenlis, D., Carroll, D. A Synoptic Scale Comparison of Yukon River Mouth Temperature to Open Source Modeled, in-situ, and reanalysis  data from 2003-2020, 2024, IEEE, in-review. [8]University of Tokyo.  (2006, December 7). Tokyo Climate Center website and its products - data.jma.go.jp.,        Tokyo Climate Center Library. Retrieved from https://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/index.html. [9]Smith, T. M., Reynolds, R. W., Peterson, T. C., and Lawrimore, J. Improvements to NOAA's historical merged land-ocean surface temperature analysis (1880-2006), J. Climate, 2008, 21( 10), 2283 – 2296.