Acoustic ground effects simulations from asteroid disruption via the “Pulverize It” method

Our simulations show that PI (“Pulverize It”), a NASA Phase II NIAC study, is an effective multi-modal approach for planetary defense that can operate in extremely short interdiction modes (with intercepts as short as hours prior to atmospheric entry) as well as long interdiction time scales with months to years of warning. The basic process is complete disruption of the threat via fragmentation. In long warning time cases, the fragment cloud spreads enough to miss Earth, resulting in no ground effects. In cases where the warning time is short, the fragments (typically <10 m in diameter) will enter Earth’s atmosphere where their energy is dissipated in a series of ground-level optical pulses and de-correlated shock waves, mitigating any significant damage. We investigate the acoustic ground effects through a set of simulation codes that model the interaction of asteroid fragments with the Earth’s atmosphere following threat interception. Even in the short warning time cases where the fragments enter the atmosphere, our simulations show that threats mitigated by the PI method produce vastly less damage on the ground when compared to the same unfragmented case, yielding shock wave over-pressures under 3 kPa. Our simulations support the proposition that threats sized 20 m—1000 m in diameter can be effectively mitigated through fragmentation, resulting in acoustic ground effects that are below estimated damage thresholds and yield short- and long-term non-lethal effects.