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Random forest regression predicts solar magnetic activity using S ph and seismic parameters, suggesting high accuracy in forecasts.
We investigate the potential of using the photometric magnetic proxy S ph and seismic parameters, such as the frequency of maximum power ( ν max ) and the large frequency separation (Δ ν ), derived from Solar and Heliospheric Observatory/Variability of Solar Irradiance and Gravity Oscillations observations to predict the 10.7 cm solar radio flux, a widely used index of solar magnetic activity. A random forest regression model is trained and tested on time series divided into multiple temporal subsets and input parameter combinations. The model achieves strong predictive performance ( R 2 > 0.92) across configurations and significantly outperforms a classical linear regression model. Our results show that S ph effectively captures long-term variations, while the seismic amplitude parameter H max is more responsive to short-term fluctuations. Combining S ph with the full set of seismic parameters yields the highest accuracy and offers a promising approach for diagnosing activity in other solar-like stars where direct magnetic field measurements are infeasible.
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Kim et al. (2025) studied this question.
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