Analysis compares effectiveness of neural networks in predicting infectious disease spread in Ukraine, highlighting potential for biosecurity improvements.
This paper presents the results of time series forecasting using machine learning methods and mobile technologies. The main results of this work are a comparison of the effectiveness of different neural network architectures in predicting the spread of infectious diseases in Ukraine for the period from December 2016 to January 2024. To achieve the goal, the following tasks were solved: the current state of the time series forecasting was analyzed; existing analogs of the systems were analyzed; the necessary neural network architectures were selected as one of the machine learning methods; a dataset for infectious diseases spread was analyzed and normalized; conducted testing. The developed system can be an effective tool for rational management decisions to ensure the epidemiological well-being and biosecurity of the population.
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Kovaliv et al. (2025) studied this question.
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