Observational analysis finds a size constraint of less than 17 m for 1998 KY26, suggesting challenges for spacecraft rendezvous.
1998~KY₂₆ is a tiny near-Earth asteroid ($H=26.1$) discovered in 1998. It has been selected as the target of the Hayabusa2 extended mission, which will rendezvous with 1998 KY₂₆ in 2031. However, one of the most basic physical properties, size, remains poorly constrained, posing potential challenges for spacecraft operations. We aimed at constraining the size of 1998 KY₂₆ by means of thermal infrared observations. We performed thermal infrared observations of 1998 KY₂₆ using the ESO Very Large Telescope/VISIR on three consecutive nights in May 2024. After stacking all frames, we find no apparent detection of 1998 KY₂₆ on the resulting images. The upper-limit flux density of 1998 KY₂₆ is derived as 2 mJy at 10.64 μm. From this upper-limit flux density obtained via non-detection, we conclude that the diameter of 1998 KY₂₆ is smaller than 17 m with thermophysical modeling. This upper limit size is smaller than the radar-derived 30 (± 10)\,m. Our size constraint on 1998 KY₂₆ is essential for the operation of the Hayabusa2 spacecraft during proximity operations using remote sensing instruments as well as a possible impact experiment using the remaining projectile.
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Beniyama et al. (2025) studied this question.
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