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October 17, 2025Cancer Research2 citationsOpen Access

Mathematical Modeling Quantifies “Just-Right” APC Inactivation for Colorectal Cancer Initiation

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MGMeritxell Brunet GuaschNFNathalie FeeleyISIgnacio Soriano

Key Points

  • Partial APC inactivation significantly increases cancer risk, with a 50-fold higher chance of progression compared to complete inactivation.
  • The study analyzed over 2500 colorectal cancer cases, indicating that optimal APC levels vary based on anatomical location and additional mutations.
  • Mathematical modeling was employed to quantify the effects of APC genotypes on tumorigenesis while controlling for somatic mutations.
  • Findings suggest that WNT hyperactivation could be exploited as a vulnerability in colorectal cancer therapies.

Abstract

Abstract Dysregulation of the tumor suppressor gene APC is a canonical step in colorectal cancer development by promoting activation of the WNT/β-catenin pathway. Curiously, most colorectal tumors carry biallelic mutations that result in only partial loss of APC function, suggesting that a “just-right” level of APC inactivation, and hence WNT signaling, provides the optimal conditions for tumorigenesis. Mutational processes act variably across the APC gene, which could contribute to the bias against complete APC inactivation. Here, we proposed a mathematical model to quantify the tumorigenic effect of biallelic APC genotypes, controlling for somatic mutational processes. Analysis of sequence data from 2500 colorectal cancers showed that APC genotypes resulting in partial protein function confer about 50 times higher probability of progressing to cancer compared to complete APC inactivation. The optimal inactivation level varied with anatomical location and additional mutations of WNT pathway regulators. Assessment of the regulatory effects of secondary alterations in WNT drivers in combination with APC in vivo provided evidence that AMER1 mutations increase WNT activity in tumors with suboptimal APC genotypes. The fitness landscape of APC inactivation was consistent across microsatellite unstable and POLE-deficient colorectal cancers and tumors in patients with familial adenomatous polyposis. Together, these findings suggest a general “just-right” optimum for APC inactivation and WNT signaling, pointing to WNT hyperactivation as a potential vulnerability in cancer.

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Cite This Study

Guasch et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68f199d1de32064e504dd722https://doi.org/10.1158/0008-5472.can-25-0445
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