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October 18, 2025Proceedings of the ACM on Human-Computer Interaction8 citationsOpen Access

The AI Review Lottery: Widespread AI-Assisted Peer Reviews Boost Paper Scores and Acceptance Rates

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GRGiuseppe RussoMRManoel Horta RibeiroTDTim R. Davidson

Key Points

  • AI-assisted reviews contribute to higher submission scores, with 53.4% of pairs favoring AI evaluations.
  • Notably, 15.8% of reviews at ICLR 2024 were estimated to be AI-assisted, raising concerns about review integrity.
  • Submissions receiving AI-assisted reviews were 4.9 percentage points more likely to be accepted compared to human-reviewed submissions.
  • The findings highlight significant implications for the peer review process within machine learning conferences.

Abstract

Journals and conferences worry that peer reviews assisted by artificial intelligence (AI), in particular, large language models (LLMs), may negatively influence the validity and fairness of the peer-review system, a cornerstone of modern science. In this work, we address this concern with a study of the prevalence and impact of AI-assisted peer reviews in the context of the 2024 International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR), a large and prestigious machine-learning conference. Our contributions are threefold. Firstly, we obtain a lower bound for the prevalence of AI-assisted reviews at ICLR 2024 using the closed- and open-source LLM detectors, estimating that at least 15.8% of reviews were written with AI assistance. Secondly, we estimate the impact of AI-assisted reviews on submission scores. Considering pairs of reviews with different scores assigned to the same paper, we find that in 53.4% of pairs, the AI-assisted review scores higher than the human review (p = 0.002; relative difference in probability of scoring higher: +14.4% in favor of AI-assisted reviews). Thirdly, we assess the impact of receiving an AI-assisted peer review on submission acceptance. In a matched study, submissions near the acceptance threshold that received an AI-assisted peer review were 4.9 percentage points (p = 0.024) more likely to be accepted than submissions that did not. Overall, we show that AI-assisted reviews are consequential to the peer-review process and offer a discussion on future implications of current trends.

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Cite This Study

Russo et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68f396388da44caaba02c714https://doi.org/10.1145/3757667
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