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October 18, 2025AtmosphereOpen Access

Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Forest Fire Risk in Southeastern China Under Climate Change: Hydrothermal Drivers and Future Projections

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Authors

DGDapeng GongMJMin Jing

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Overview

Meteorology-driven model reveals significant changes in fire risk across Southeastern China, highlighting climate impact.

Key Points

  • The study finds a significant overall decline in fire frequency by 10.8% annually from 2008 to 2024.
  • Analysis showed 74% of fires happen in the dry season, underscoring seasonal patterns in fire occurrence.
  • A machine learning model demonstrated strong predictive performance, validating meteorological impacts on fire dynamics.
  • Projections indicate a potential expansion of high-risk areas to 19.2% by century's end, necessitating new fire management strategies.

Cite This Study

Gong et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68f3d0c11cb4135751d12beahttps://doi.org/10.3390/atmos16101189
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Also Consider

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  1. 1Changes in forest fire danger for south-western China in the 21st century2014 · 44 citations
  2. 2Canadian Forest Fire Danger Rating System: An Overview1989 · 375 citations
  3. 3[Forest fire risk assessment for China under different climate scenarios.]2016 · 7 citations
  4. 4Comparisons of fire weather indices using Canadian raw and homogenized weather data2018 · 9 citations
  5. 5Historical Evaluation and Future Projections of 100‐m Wind Energy Potentials Over CORDEX‐East Asia2020 · 57 citations