Mathematical model predicts ion concentration in solar evaporation ponds for lithium extraction, indicating its broader application.
In the coming decades, anticipated population growth is projected to escalate the demand for essential resources such as NaCl, KCl, and LiCl, which are critical for human consumption, agriculture, and battery production. A substantial proportion of these salts is produced from brines using solar evaporation ponds. This article presents a one-dimensional surrogate mathematical model of an ideal solar evaporation pond working at a steady state. The ideal pond considers only water evaporation, with a uniform evaporation rate per unit area. The model’s equation, or the ideal solar evaporation law, allows calculating the ion concentration profile in an ideal pond just given the feed and discharge concentrations. The validation of the law was conducted with industrial data collected in the year 2023 in a lithium recovery plant throughout 15 ponds in series at the Salar de Atacama, Chile. The results verified that the model could accurately predict the monthly concentration profiles (R2 in the range 0.9646 to 0.9864) if lithium does not precipitate in the pond. The model provides accurate values of pond inventories and area requirements for designing stages. The model’s relevance extends beyond the lithium industry to encompass any solar evaporation processes for salt recovery or solution concentration.
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Silva et al. (2025) studied this question.
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