Answers are grounded in this paper and cite their sources.
This analysis demonstrates rainfall patterns in Banda Neira, using ARIMA for future forecasting, highlighting significant decreases in expected rainfall.
Rainfall refers to the amount of rainwater that falls in an area in a certain period of time and usually measured in millimeters. Rainfall that is too high can cause disasters or losses for the wider community. Therefore, it is necessary to forecast rainfall for the future as an anticipation of bad events that may occur. One of the areas with high rainfall is Banda Neira Island. Rainfall forecasting can be done using time series modeling, one of which is ARIMA. This Research aims to determine the results of forecasting the amount of rainfall in Banda Neira using the ARIMA method. The data used for modeling is rainfall data for the period January 2018 to December 2022 sourced from the BPS of Maluku Province. Based on the research results, the best model is ARIMA (1,0,0), and the results of rainfall forecasting from January to April 2023 respectively are 274.68 mm, 247.02 mm, 233.54 mm, 226.84 mm. When compared with past rainfall data, it can be said that the amount of rainfall in Banda Neira from January to April 2023 decreased by up to 10%.
No takes yet. Share an insight, caveat, or question.
Kastanya et al. (2025) studied this question.
Synapse has enriched 5 closely related papers on similar clinical questions. Consider them for comparative context: