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October 23, 2025Energies12 citationsOpen Access

The Real Option Approach to Investment Decisions in Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems: A Systematic Literature Review

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ACAnna CarozzaniCDChiara D’Alpaos

Key Points

  • Investment decisions are enhanced through the real options approach in renewable energy projects, especially in hydropower and solar technologies.
  • The systematic literature review identified 38 relevant articles, highlighting trends and gaps in employing real options for energy evaluation.
  • This analysis followed the PRISMA protocol and examined various renewable energy technologies' impact on investment decisions.
  • Research shows there is still a need for robust evaluation frameworks to incorporate uncertainties in mixed renewable energy projects.

Abstract

In recent years, the global energy crisis, concerns about energy security and grid parity, and the pressure to develop policies for reducing the environmental impact of anthropogenic activities have accelerated investments in renewable energy. A growing body of literature applies the real options approach (ROA) to renewable energy projects, recognizing its value in capturing irreversibility and flexibility under uncertainty. The present work provides a detailed state-of-the-art analysis on the adoption of real options to evaluate mixes of energy technologies for power generation, with a special emphasis on investments in hydropower and solar photovoltaics. The objective is to assess current applications, identify knowledge gaps, and outline priorities for advancing decision-making tools in this domain. We performed a systematic literature review following the PRISMA protocol, identifying 38 papers from the Scopus database up to February 2024. Eligible studies were peer-reviewed articles in English applying the ROA to power generation, following a technology selection process; policy evaluation or research and development studies were excluded. The selected papers were analyzed to identify trends over time and space, adopted energy technology, types of real options with valuation methods, and sources of uncertainty. The present paper also discusses the main findings and emerging gaps, providing an overview of hybrid renewable energy systems. Our analysis suggests that, despite the significant advances achieved in this area, further research is needed to exploit the potential of the ROA in investment decisions for combined renewable energy technologies, especially in cases where internal uncertainty and community perspectives need to be explicitly considered. By linking the ROA to the challenges of mixed renewable energy projects, this study enhances understanding of investment decision-making under uncertainty and identifies pathways toward more robust and adaptive project evaluation.

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Cite This Study

Carozzani et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/68f9f86eb2c35e10cc4e3b59https://doi.org/10.3390/en18205535
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