Designing UHPC beams for shear is challenging because many factors—geometry, concrete strength, fibers, and stirrups—act together. In this study, we compile a large, curated database of laboratory tests and develop machine learning models to predict shear capacity. The best models provide accurate point predictions and, importantly, a 95% prediction band that tells how much uncertainty to expect; in tests, about 95% of results fall inside this band. For day-to-day design, we also offer a short, design-oriented formula with explicit coefficients and variables that can be used in a spreadsheet. Together, these tools let engineers screen options quickly, check designs with an uncertainty margin, and choose a conservative value when needed. The approach is transparent, easy to implement, and aligned with common code variables, so it can support preliminary sizing, verification, and assessment of UHPC members.
Yang et al. (2025) studied this question.