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October 31, 2025Energies3 citationsOpen Access

Spatio-Temporal Feature Fusion-Based Hybrid GAT-CNN-LSTM Model for Enhanced Short-Term Power Load Forecasting

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JHJia HuangQWQing WeiTWTiankuo Wang

Key Points

  • The hybrid model incorporates spatio-temporal features for better forecasting accuracy in complex power grids.
  • Experimental validation shows significant error reduction compared to baseline models under various conditions.
  • GAT captures dynamic spatial correlations while CNN and LSTM extract temporal load patterns effectively.
  • Robustness and adaptability to extreme weather enhance the model's applicability in power load forecasting.

Abstract

Conventional power load forecasting frameworks face limitations in dynamic spatial topology capture and long-term dependency modeling. To address these issues, this study proposes a hybrid GAT-CNN-LSTM architecture for enhanced short-term power load forecasting. The model integrates three core components synergistically: Graph Attention Network (GAT) dynamically captures spatial correlations via adaptive node weighting, resolving static topology constraints; a CNN-LSTM module extracts multi-scale temporal features—convolutional kernels decompose load fluctuations, while bidirectional LSTM layers model long-term trends; and a gated fusion mechanism adaptively weights and fuses spatio-temporal features, suppressing noise and enhancing sensitivity to critical load periods. Experimental validations on multi-city datasets show significant improvements: the model outperforms baseline models by a notable margin in error reduction, exhibits stronger robustness under extreme weather, and maintains superior stability in multi-step forecasting. This study concludes that the hybrid model balances spatial topological analysis and temporal trend modeling, providing higher accuracy and adaptability for STLF in complex power grid environments.

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Cite This Study

Huang et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6903fee5b25c631a4265fd93https://doi.org/10.3390/en18215686
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