Framework embeds carbon intensity as a core risk in merger and acquisition processes, indicating significant decarbonisation potential in energy transition.
Objective (25-75 words) Energy incumbents face risks and opportunities from the energy transition, requiring portfolio-wide decarbonisation (typically >30-40% CI (Carbon Intensity) reduction by 2030) necessitating structural change. Traditional merger & acquisition evaluation lacks systematic integration of carbon intensity as a core performance metric. This paper introduces a practical framework to manage portfolio transformation as a key lever for Carbon Intensity reduction, demonstrated through a composite case study for a major NOC targeting ~30% portfolio CO2e abatement while maximizing commercial value. Method (75 – 100 Words) Achieving step-change Carbon Intensity reduction via acquisitions and divestments (A&D) requires moving beyond purely financial metrics. Distilling "best in class" project experience and lessons, we present a structured, stage-gated framework embedding Carbon Intensity management throughout the portfolio transformation lifecycle by: Results (100 – 200 Words) Novelty (25 – 75 words) This paper presents a practical framework for proactively managing portfolio carbon intensity transformation. By embedding Carbon Intensity as a core risk and value driver within screening, due diligence, valuation, and long-term governance – demonstrated through the NOC composite case study achieving a ~30% abatement pathway with positive NPV – operators can identify and execute the most commercially attractive transactions to meet significant targets, effectively transforming their asset base for sustained value creation in a lower-carbon future.
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Carydias et al. (2025) studied this question.
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