Econometric analysis shows industrialization increases CO₂ emissions in Indonesia, while renewable energy and trade openness improve environmental outcomes.
Industrialization has been pivotal in driving economic development. The research problem is the negative impact of industrialization to global warming and climate change. The relevance – enabling the use of renewable energy and green solutions to decrease CO₂ emissions. This research aims to evaluate the impact of short and long-term of industrialization, consumption of renewable energy, trade openness and economic growth on carbon emissions per capita in Indonesia. This research analyses [2000–2023] data, applying econometric ARDL approach and diagnostic tools. The Breusch-Godfrey Serial Correlation (BGSC) results revealed no consistent correlations, when Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey (BPG) test heteroscedasticity was confirmed. Ramsey RESET test (RRT) showed that the model is perfectly specified and significant; CUSUMSQ and CUSUM tools proved the stability of the model, when the VIF multicollinearity results indicated that no multicollinearity exists between the variables. Research findings show: trade openness and the consumption of renewable energy demonstrate a favourable effect for carbon output per capita in Indonesia as outcomes of economic progress, while industrialization has an adverse relationship with emissions of carbon per capita. The research originality – complex evaluation of the relationship between mentioned variables interplay. This publication provides recommendations for policymakers to improve the quality of environment.
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Kraujalienė et al. (2025) studied this question.
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