Forecast of Seismic and Geodynamic Conditions Before and After the Earthquake of March 28, 2025, 7.7, in Myanmar

The paper presents a comprehensive analysis of the seismic and geodynamic conditions before and after the March 28, 2025, 7.7 earthquake in Myanmar. The results of a global test of the 8 algorithm for predicting earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.5 and greater for this region are considered. It is analyzed how expected the earthquake was in terms of long-term seismic hazard based on seismicity data alone. A geodynamic analysis is performed to assess the seismogenic potential of the Sagaiag fault before and after the earthquake. The risk of aftershocks is assessed. A model of the earthquake source is constructed to test the supershear property of the rupture and interpret the anomalously large length in the US Geological Survey model.