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December 4, 2025Space WeatherOpen Access

Premature Reentry of the Binar CubeSats Due To Underestimation of Solar and Geomagnetic Activities and Its Implication for Importance of Medium‐ and Long‐Term Space Weather Forecasts

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Authors

XWXin WangZYZhitao YangTRTingling Ren

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Overview

Analysis reveals geomagnetic storms caused premature reentry in Binar satellites, highlighting gaps in space weather forecasts.

Key Points

  • Premature reentry due to underestimation of solar activity led to substantial lifespan reduction in the Binar satellites.
  • In 2024, Binar-2, 3, and 4 satellites experienced lifetimes only about 20% of the expected duration.
  • Study involved examining medium- and long-term space weather forecasts to assess their accuracy and implications.
  • Findings underscore the critical nature of accurate space weather forecasting for LEO satellite design and operation.

Cite This Study

Wang et al. (2025) studied this question.

synapsesocial.com/papers/6930dc6bea1aef094cca1ef6https://doi.org/10.1029/2025sw004619
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